Award Date

2009

Degree Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Arts in Criminal Justice

Department

Criminal Justice

Advisor 1

Joel D. Lieberman, Committee Chair

First Committee Member

Deborah K. Shaffer

Second Committee Member

Hong Lu

Graduate Faculty Representative

Stacey Hardy-Desmond

Number of Pages

71

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to examine the predictive validity of Risk Management Systems (RMS) as a risk assessment instrument. To date, a published validation study does not exist for the RMS. The study employs secondary data analysis to examine the predictive validity of RMS recidivism and violence scores on three outcomes: arrest, unsuccessful termination from supervision, and technical violations. The study sample consisted of 830 probationers from the United States Probation Office, District of Nevada. The analyses showed that RMS recidivism and violence scores were moderately predictive of all three outcomes.

Keywords

Offender classification; Probationers; Recidivism; Risk assessment; Risk management systems; Risk prediction; Validation

Disciplines

Criminology | Criminology and Criminal Justice | Law Enforcement and Corrections

Language

English


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