Closure to "Development of Exceedance Probability Streamflow Forecast"

Document Type



The authors have described a method of streamflow prediction through the use of the exceediance probability concept. The basis of the concept is identical with the flow duration curve surface hydrology (Cigizoglu and Bayazit 2000). In both the development and the application of their methodology there are some vague considerations and points that need further clarification. It is true that the reliable estimation of streamflows is necessary in any water resources development and management. However, from meteorological and atmospheric views, this paper should try and search for such a prediction for the precipitation records. For the major hydrological variable streamflow is shaped by topographic, morphologic, vegetative, and surface geological characteristics of a region based on the precipitation event occurrences.


El Nino Southern Oscillation; Hydrology; Precipitation (Meteorology); Rain; Statistical analysis; Streamflow; Streamflow—Forecasting; Water supply


Atmospheric Sciences | Civil and Environmental Engineering | Engineering | Environmental Engineering | Environmental Sciences | Meteorology | Water Resource Management


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